Lincoln City vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lincoln City v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals
Lincoln City vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
Lincoln City
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Lincoln City
İBSL
3-3
HT 1-0
Stockport County
İBSL
4-0
HT 2-0
Lincoln City
İBSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stockport County
İBSL
3-4
HT 1-2
Lincoln City
İN2
Lincoln City 2-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City edged past Stockport County 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lincoln City had 44% of the ball to Stockport County's 56%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.91 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lincoln City and 2.33 for Stockport County.
What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Stockport County?
Lincoln City 2-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Stockport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 41%, draw 28%, Stockport County 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.