Wrexham 3-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.52
Over
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.22
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
18%
5.07
6+
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
6%
6.45
X/X
17%
3.67
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
5.24
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-2% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.2 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
236 Passes 314
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.88 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
225 Passes 278
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham ran out comfortable winners over Charlton Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Wrexham had 45% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 55%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.88 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Charlton Athletic?

Wrexham 3-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 38%, draw 30%, Charlton Athletic 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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