Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion
3-2 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
8%
8.8
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
8%
22.0
2/2
14%
6.63
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.72
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.0 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY West Ham United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
546 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.01.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
26.08.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
04.03.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
21.08.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
22.05.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3-2
AWAY West Ham United
1.31 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
447 Passes 414
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
39 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion edged past West Ham United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 53% of the ball to West Ham United's 47%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United?

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 45%, draw 27%, West Ham United 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ BTTS Yes
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