Kapaz 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

Kapaz
0-1 HT 0-0
Zira
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.45
+57% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zira
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.02.2025 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
08.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-4 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
28.09.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
16.03.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
21.10.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Kapaz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Kapaz and 2.00 for Zira.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Zira?

Kapaz 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 27%, draw 31%, Zira 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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