Internacional 3-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.9
X/1
22%
3.76
X/2
5%
14.75
X/X
12%
6.11
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
6%
13.25
2/X
5%
22.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.92/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.91
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
22.5 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.66 xG 0.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
378 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-3 HT 0-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
13.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
11.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
22.01.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRG1
30.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
3-1
AWAY Juventude
1.28 xG 0.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
327 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Juventude 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Internacional had 52% of the ball to Juventude's 48%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.28 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Juventude?

Internacional 3-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Internacional 63%, draw 22%, Juventude 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →