Valour 0-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.52/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.06
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.8 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
2W-1D-3L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
18.08.2024 Valour Valour 2-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
19.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Valour Valour KAPL
20.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
07.10.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
26.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
0-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
0.50 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
354 Passes 397
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valour vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers edged past Valour 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; HFX Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valour had 49% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valour and 1.67 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Valour vs HFX Wanderers?

Valour 0-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valour 32%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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