Györi ETO 2-0 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.38
Over
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.89
2-3
41%
1.94
4-5
24%
2.65
6+
13%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.54
+27% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.5 Crosses 21.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 291
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
22.09.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-1 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
30.11.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
27.07.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 2-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
22.03.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-2 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
31.08.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
2-0
AWAY Paksi SE
1.37 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
369 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO got the better of Paksi SE 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Györi ETO found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Györi ETO had 62% of the ball to Paksi SE's 38%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Györi ETO and 1.17 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Paksi SE?

Györi ETO 2-0 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 39%, draw 27%, Paksi SE 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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