Ujpest vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ujpest v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals
Ujpest vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Diosgyor
MAC
0-0
HT 0-0
Ujpest
MAC
Ujpest 1-1 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics
Ujpest and Diosgyor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ujpest had 61% of the ball to Diosgyor's 39%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.27 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ujpest and 0.33 for Diosgyor.
What was the final score of Ujpest vs Diosgyor?
Ujpest 1-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Diosgyor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 46%, draw 26%, Diosgyor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS No went the other way.