Puskas FC 3-1 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No Pick
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.37
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.26
6+
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +0%
1.90/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.92
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.4 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.11 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-0 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
22.09.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
29.03.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
02.12.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
14.05.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
3-1
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.28 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
262 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC beat MOL Fehervar 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 50% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 50%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.28 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puskas FC and 1.17 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar?

Puskas FC 3-1 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 48%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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