Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.37
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.75
X/2
10%
8.28
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.1
2/2
12%
5.56
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
19.4 Crosses 22.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
390 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
26.04.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.12.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
24.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
22.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-2
AWAY Saarbrücken
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
358 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
49 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 56% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 44%, shots finished 24-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.83 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 47%, draw 25%, Saarbrücken 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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