Bayer Leverkusen (K) 4-1 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.2pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.72/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.50
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
25.8 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
26.01.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
14.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
31.08.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
10.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
4-1
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.99 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
464 Passes 232
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) swept aside Freiburg (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 62% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.99 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bayer Leverkusen (K) and 1.00 for Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 4-1 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 63%, draw 17%, Freiburg (K) 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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