Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordino EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 32%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.94/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.74
-32% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +93%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Ordino Ordino 2-4 HT 0-2 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
06.11.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-4 HT 0-1 Ordino Ordino AND
19.01.2025 Ordino Ordino 0-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
20.10.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
03.03.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
10.12.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ordino
0-1
AWAY Penya Encarnada
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ordino vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada squeezed past Ordino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ordino at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ordino had 49% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 51%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ordino and 1.67 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ordino 48%, draw 22%, Penya Encarnada 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordino) ✓ Under 2.5
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