APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.47
Draw
13%
4.49
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
64%
+8.7pp
13%
Draw
19%
-6.2pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.46/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.20
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY St. George Saints
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
28.06.2025 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-3 HT 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
15.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-3 HT 0-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
29.06.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
23.03.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over St. George Saints 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.75 for St. George Saints.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 72%, draw 13%, St. George Saints 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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