St. George Saints 2-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.46/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.58
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. George Saints
0W-2D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
15.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-3 HT 0-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
29.06.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
23.03.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over St. George Saints 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. George Saints and 3.33 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

St. George Saints 2-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 28%, draw 24%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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