Mechelen 1-4 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Apr 2026

Mechelen
1-4 HT 1-1
St. Truidense
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Mechelen vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.88
1/2
9%
23.1
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
13%
7.05
X/2
13%
4.92
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.8
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.71/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.77
+33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
20.6 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Mechelen vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 404
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.10.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
21.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
08.11.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
12.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
05.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense swept aside Mechelen 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mechelen and 2.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs St. Truidense?

Mechelen 1-4 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 30%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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