Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Anderlecht 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Anderlecht had 55% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 45%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.05 to 0.57 — on chances, Anderlecht could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Anderlecht 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 29%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.