Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Anderlecht 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Anderlecht edged past Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Anderlecht had 40% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 60%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.42 to 0.87 — on chances, Union Saint-Gilloise could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Anderlecht 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 30%, draw 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), BTTS Yes went the other way.