Gent 1-2 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.13
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
17%
5.47
X/2
12%
6.8
X/X
7%
5.16
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
4.41
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.36/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.38
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.2 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 2.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
339 Passes 468
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.12.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
06.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
25.05.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
23.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
01.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
POST-MATCH Gent vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense nicked a narrow win over Gent 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gent and 1.33 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Gent vs St. Truidense?

Gent 1-2 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gent 48%, draw 22%, St. Truidense 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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