St. Truidense 3-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
19%
5.42
X/2
9%
7.13
X/X
16%
5.55
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
11%
4.51
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.63
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.6 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.24 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
499 Passes 339
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
06.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
25.05.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
23.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
01.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
06.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEK
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense beat Gent 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Truidense and 1.50 for Gent.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Gent?

St. Truidense 3-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 45%, draw 27%, Gent 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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