Club Brugge 2-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.12
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.49
X/2
6%
10.2
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
10%
7.58
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.83
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.0 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Genk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 Passes 449
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Genk Genk 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
05.02.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
15.01.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEK
15.12.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-1
AWAY Genk
2.18 xG 1.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 6
430 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Genk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 56% of the ball to Genk's 44%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.18 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Genk?

Club Brugge 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 45%, draw 31%, Genk 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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