Anderlecht 5-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 22% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
11%
9.15
X/X
14%
5.7
2/1
9%
21.25
2/2
9%
6.54
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.75
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.2 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 2-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.12.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 3-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
14.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
5-2
AWAY Westerlo
2.83 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
315 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
56 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht ran out comfortable winners over Westerlo 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 48% of the ball to Westerlo's 52%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.83 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Anderlecht 5-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 46%, draw 28%, Westerlo 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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