OH Leuven 2-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.56
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.22
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.36
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.8 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.35 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
371 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
28.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
14.12.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.10.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.02.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
29.07.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
2-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.07 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
263 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 44% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 56%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.07 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for OH Leuven and 0.50 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

OH Leuven 2-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 34%, draw 29%, Sporting Charleroi 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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