AGF Aarhus 0-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.47
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.21
6+
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.69
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
12%
12.25
X/1
10%
5.81
X/2
17%
5.85
X/X
8%
4.67
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.73
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 1/X at 12.25 — our 12% vs market 5.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.81
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
22.8 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Midtjylland
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2026 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
08.03.2026 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
12.02.2026 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
03.11.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
04.05.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
0-0
AWAY Midtjylland
1.27 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
264 Passes 192
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus and Midtjylland fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 57% of the ball to Midtjylland's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.27 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.33 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland?

AGF Aarhus 0-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 34%, draw 27%, Midtjylland 39%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ BTTS Yes
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