Viborg 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.63
Over
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.86
2-3
37%
2.04
4-5
25%
2.48
6+
12%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.99
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
15%
5.72
X/2
15%
6.74
X/X
10%
6.14
2/1
9%
21.0
2/2
17%
3.86
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -32%
1.37/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.70
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.5 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.79
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
354 Passes 586
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.03.2026 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
25.08.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
03.11.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
20.09.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-2 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
01.11.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.42 xG 0.72
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
204 Passes 423
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg nicked a narrow win over FC Nordsjaelland 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Viborg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viborg had 36% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 64%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.42 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viborg's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viborg and 1.83 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Viborg 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Viborg 39%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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