Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Midtjylland 3-1 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics
Midtjylland beat AGF Aarhus 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Midtjylland had 56% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 3.89 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Midtjylland and 0.50 for AGF Aarhus.
What was the final score of Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus?
Midtjylland 3-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 54%, draw 22%, AGF Aarhus 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.