Macara vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Macara v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Macara 3-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Macara dismantled Libertad 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.60, roughly 62%.
The match data tells the story: Libertad saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.63 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Macara against 0.25 for Libertad.
Macara vs Libertad Result & Final Score
Macara 3-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Macara vs Libertad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Macara 47%, draw 25%, Libertad 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.