Paris FC 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Apr 2026

Paris FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Lille
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Paris FC vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
1/X
4%
15.1
X/1
8%
9.23
X/2
14%
4.32
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.2
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Lille win — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paris FC v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 58%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.54/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.20
+91% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +19%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 85%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
12.2 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Paris FC vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lille
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.52 xG 4.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
353 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Lille Lille 4-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR1

Paris FC 0-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
0-1
AWAY Lille
1.06 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
345 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille squeezed past Paris FC 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paris FC had 47% of the ball to Lille's 53%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Lille?

Paris FC 0-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 23%, draw 23%, Lille 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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