Ulsan Hyundai 1-4 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.01
1/2
10%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
9%
6.61
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
12%
25.0
2/2
9%
4.8
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.17/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.39
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.04.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-3 HT 2-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
23.02.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
27.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
25.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-4
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
495 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen ran out comfortable winners over Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 58% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 42%, shots finished 20-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.33 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-4 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 43%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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