Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.98
2-3
47%
1.71
4-5
22%
3.5
6+
5%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Attack Strength Weak
Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
268 Passes 200
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2026 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-5 HT 0-4 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2-3
19.07.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
05.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0 - 1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 136
67% Pass Accuracy 55%
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Parceiro Nagano nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 48%. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Matsumoto Yamaga had 60% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 40%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Result & Final Score

Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 1 Parceiro Nagano in the JAP2-3 on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 66%, draw 20%, Parceiro Nagano 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ BTTS No
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