AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
0.87/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.49
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +127%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
202 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.10.2025 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
16.03.2025 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
19.10.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 40% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 60%, shots finished 13-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 2.40 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 31%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata (K) 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
26 Apr 2026
07:00 Omiya Ardija (K) vs Urawa Red (K) Analysis →
08:00 Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Analysis →