Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.03
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
207 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
19.04.2025 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
15.09.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
28.04.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
3-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) swept aside Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nojima Stella (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 43% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 57%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 2.00 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 37%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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