Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 5-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL overpowered Mazatlan 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 49%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.36, about 74%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Tigres UANL's favour, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.36.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Tigres UANL against 1.67 for Mazatlan.
Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 5-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 71%, draw 18%, Mazatlan 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.