Aalesund 1-1 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 Apr 2026

Aalesund
1-1 HT 0-0
Kristiansund BK
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.04
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
8%
8.41
X/X
6%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.65
2/2
16%
5.61
2/X
8%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Kristiansund BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.00/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
-64% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.2 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.20 xG 2.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-3 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK HAZ
30.10.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 4-0 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
03.04.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
04.10.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
21.06.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7-2 HT 3-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
21.10.2017 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR

Aalesund 1-1 Kristiansund BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
1-1
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.15 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
378 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund and Kristiansund BK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Aalesund had 56% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 44%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.15 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalesund and 2.83 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?

Aalesund 1-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 47%, draw 22%, Kristiansund BK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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