Molde vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Molde v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Molde vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
0-4
HT 0-3
Molde
NOR
1-2
HT 1-0
Molde
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
Molde 5-1 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Molde swept aside Valerenga 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Molde had 57% of the ball to Valerenga's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 4.11 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Molde and 0.67 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Molde vs Valerenga?
Molde 5-1 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Molde vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Molde 52%, draw 22%, Valerenga 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.