KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KFUM Oslo v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
KFUM Oslo 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
KFUM Oslo edged past Sarpsborg 08 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, KFUM Oslo had 40% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 60%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.42 to 1.60.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.75 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?
KFUM Oslo 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 41%, draw 25%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.