Tromsö 3-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
24%
4.18
X/2
6%
10.45
X/X
10%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.95
2/2
9%
8.05
2/X
5%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.21/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.72
-16% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.0 Crosses 17.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.51 xG 1.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 461
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.05.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
22.09.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
03.07.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
16.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
3-1
AWAY Sandefjord
1.85 xG 0.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
320 Passes 456
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö got the better of Sandefjord 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tromsö had 44% of the ball to Sandefjord's 56%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.85 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tromsö and 0.50 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Tromsö 3-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 59%, draw 21%, Sandefjord 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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