AD Marco 09 1-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 30%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.15
+44% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
04.01.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 1-1 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
28.09.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ AD Marco 09 vs Sporting Braga II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AD Marco 09 edged past Sporting Braga II 1-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 60% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 40%, shots finished 14-3.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AD Marco 09 and 2.00 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Sporting Braga II?

AD Marco 09 1-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 44%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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