Amarante 2-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.04/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.39
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 CF Os Belenenses 1-2 HT 0-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
10.05.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-4 HT 0-2 CF Os Belenenses POR3
15.03.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
2-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amarante had 47% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 53%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amarante and 1.67 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses?

Amarante 2-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amarante 32%, draw 30%, CF Os Belenenses 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
26 Apr 2026
13:00 Uniao Santarem vs Academica Analysis →
17:00 AD Marco 09 vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →