Uniao Santarem 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 58%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.82
+27% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
238 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Academica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Academica Academica 3-1 HT 2-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
29.11.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
17.08.2025 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
04.05.2025 Academica Academica 0-4 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
15.02.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
08.12.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-3 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-1
AWAY Academica
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem and Academica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 52% of the ball to Academica's 48%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uniao Santarem and 1.33 for Academica.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Academica?

Uniao Santarem 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 22%, draw 25%, Academica 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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