Chelyabinsk 1-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2026

Chelyabinsk
1-2 HT 0-1
Ural
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Chelyabinsk vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelyabinsk v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.44/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.14
+45% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chelyabinsk vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelyabinsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ural
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2025 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk RUS1

Chelyabinsk 1-2 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
1-2
AWAY Ural
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelyabinsk vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural nicked a narrow win over Chelyabinsk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelyabinsk had 56% of the ball to Ural's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

Chelyabinsk 1-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 25%, draw 29%, Ural 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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