FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -18%
1.48/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.51
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
3W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
20.04.2025 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
15.09.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
07.05.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
16.10.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-0
AWAY FK Ufa
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva squeezed past FK Ufa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 60% of the ball to FK Ufa's 40%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 0.60 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 64%, draw 22%, FK Ufa 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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