KAMAZ 2-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2026

KAMAZ
2-1 HT 1-0
Chayka
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
0.81/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
-45% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Chayka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2025 Chayka Chayka 0-2 HT 0-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
15.10.2025 Chayka Chayka 1-3 HT 0-2 KAMAZ KAMAZ RKBL
08.03.2025 KAMAZ KAMAZ 3-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
13.10.2024 Chayka Chayka 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
2-1
AWAY Chayka
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ squeezed past Chayka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KAMAZ as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 51% of the ball to Chayka's 49%, shots finished 19-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KAMAZ had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KAMAZ and 0.50 for Chayka.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Chayka?

KAMAZ 2-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 48%, draw 26%, Chayka 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KAMAZ), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
26 Apr 2026
10:00 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Neftekhimik Analysis →
11:30 Chelyabinsk vs Ural Analysis →
17:00 Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →
17:00 Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
17:00 Rotor Volgograd vs Volga Ulyanovsk Analysis →
19:00 FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa Analysis →