Chernomorets 0-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 1-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
27.04.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-2 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
29.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
08.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.09.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 5-3 HT 4-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov squeezed past Chernomorets 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chernomorets had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Chernomorets and 1.00 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov?

Chernomorets 0-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 48%, draw 24%, Sokol Saratov 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5
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