AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.61
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
22%
3.91
X/2
7%
9.49
X/X
10%
4.12
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
9%
8.68
2/X
10%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.44/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.82
-24% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.3 Crosses 12.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
323 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
25.10.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-2 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
12.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
26.09.2024 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
30.01.2011 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.10.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
0-1
AWAY Panserraikos
0.50 xG 0.37
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
429 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos edged past AE Larissa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. AE Larissa carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AE Larissa had 69% of the ball to Panserraikos's 31%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.50 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AE Larissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AE Larissa and 0.67 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 55%, draw 26%, Panserraikos 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AE Larissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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26 Apr 2026
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