Atromitos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 37% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.58
X/2
10%
6.93
X/X
20%
3.85
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
8%
5.64
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +7%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.30
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.1 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
30.11.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.05.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 0-4 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.04.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.05 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
449 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 60% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.05 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Atromitos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 42%, draw 34%, Asteras Tripolis 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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