Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.93
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
16%
5.3
X/2
7%
5.54
X/X
13%
3.69
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
4.2
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
0.89/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.98
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.8 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.05.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 0-4 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.04.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-2
AWAY Atromitos
0.98 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
405 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos edged past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Atromitos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 57% of the ball to Atromitos's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.00 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 40%, draw 26%, Atromitos 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
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