Cavalry 4-0 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.8 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valour
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
382 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
31.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
12.08.2023 Valour Valour 3-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
4-0
AWAY Valour
1.30 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
273 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry swept aside Valour 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cavalry had 47% of the ball to Valour's 53%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.30 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cavalry and 1.33 for Valour.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Valour?

Cavalry 4-0 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 53%, draw 24%, Valour 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5
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