Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.65
X/1
21%
3.88
X/2
5%
12.95
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
5%
10.9
2/X
4%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.52/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.56
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.4 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Galway United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.00 xG 0.62
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
517 Passes 187
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Galway United Galway United 1-3 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
20.03.2026 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
29.10.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
10.08.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
04.04.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-1
AWAY Galway United
2.49 xG 2.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
517 Passes 194
22 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers got the better of Galway United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 55% of the ball to Galway United's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.49 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.17 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 66%, draw 19%, Galway United 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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