Derry City vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 2-0 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City beat Drogheda United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Derry City had 56% of the ball to Drogheda United's 44%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City 2-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Derry City 66%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.