Drogheda United vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Drogheda United v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Drogheda United vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Drogheda United 1-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Drogheda United and Derry City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Drogheda United had 41% of the ball to Derry City's 59%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 1.39 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Drogheda United and 1.17 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Drogheda United 1-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 28%, draw 30%, Derry City 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.